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Semi-final Results Madrid; Preview of Men's & Women's Final

Fed cruises past Tipsarevic; Berdych tops Del Potro


May 12, 2012 | 08:08 PM

First up was Berdych v Del Potro, an even money affair between two of the biggest servers and hitters in the game. Delpo had won their previous 3 encounters (after losing the first years ago), the last one 6-3, 6-1 in Rotterdam in Feb., so perhaps Berdych was due to get lucky. If winning two close tie-breakers in a row reflects as much luck as skill, then Tomas got lucky today, winning 7-6 (5), 7-6 (6). But while the two men won exactly the same number of points and Delpo earned a few more chances to break (5) than Tomas did, the match came down to who served better in the breakers, and Berdych won that contest. Overall, he fired 15 aces and 41 winners (29 errors) to Delpo's 6 aces, 30 winners (19 errors). It was a high quality match, and Delpo can't be too disappointed with the way he played except in a few key points.

Roger def. Tipsarevic 6-2, 6-3

Roger is now 5 - 0 with this Serb, whom he subdued without difficulty thanks to another phenomenal serving day. When Fed gets over 70% of 1st serves in, there's little an opponent can do. Tipso earned but one break point, and Rog has now faced only 3 break points in his last three matches combined, getting in no fewer than 70% of his 1st serves and winning no less than 57% of total points in each match on this run.

FINAL PREVIEW: Rog v Berdych

- Berdych has played just as well as Rog in Madrid, matching him in serving effectiveness and winning an even higher percentage of total in his last three matches.

- Berdych has been broken twice in the tournament (both times by Del Potro today), Federer once (by Raonic in the opening set of his first match)

- Fed is 10 and 4 with Berdych, but they gone back and forth in their last 4 matches

Roger's prospects for #2 Rank Improve

With a win in Sunday's final over Berdych:

- Roger would be just 185 points behind #2 Rafa, who will have 600 points to defend in Rome

- Roger's defending only 90 points in Rome, so if Rafa doesn't win there and Roger reaches the semis, he will take over the #2 spot

- were Roger to lose to Berdych in the Madrid final, he still cuts the margin between himself and Rafa by 735 points, and will trail by only 435 points

Berdych will become #6 again, passing Ferrer whether he wins or loses to Roger. Should he win, he will be within 100 points of #5 Tsonga.

WOMEN'S FINAL PREVIEW: Vika v Serena

- Having won 6 of their 7 encounters, all in straight sets except one, Serena has to be considered the favorite based on history

- Vika is, however, a different player this year

This will be a good test of both players.

Rick

Madrid 5.12.12


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