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Guest Blog

Open Seeds vs. ODDS (Women)

Serena Screwed?


August 24, 2011 | 08:59 AM

NO, at least not by the USTA. Her draw remains to be seen, and the only thing for sure is that whatever seed she runs into first (in the 3rd and 4th round) has a BAD draw. WHY am I sure this isn't pay-back by the USTA? Because no one gains from this, least of all the USTA's tv ratings. If I'd had any doubts, they'd have been gone after reading Jeff Sackmann's exhaustive analysis of mens' seedings at the Open in the past 10 years (they're available on his blog, heavytopsin.com).

The 2011 US Open Seedings VS. Betfair 'Back' ODDS (what you'd win for a $1 bet if the player wins)

1. Caroline Wozniacki (DEN #1) 19

2. Vera Zvonareva (RUS #2) 22

3. Maria Sharapova (RUS #4) 7

4. Victoria Azarenka (BLR #5) 13

5. Petra Kvitova (CZE #6) 12

6. Li Na (CHN #7) 23

7. Francesca Schiavone (ITA #8) 129

8. Marion Bartoli (FRA #9) 59

9. Samantha Stosur (AUS #10) 46

10. Andrea Petkovic (GER #11) 41

11. Jelena Jankovic (SRB #12) 64

12. Agnieszka Radwanska (POL #13) 43

13. Peng Shuai (CHN #14) 210

14. Dominika Cibulkova (SVK #15) 159

15. Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS #16) 94

16. Ana Ivanovic (RUS #17) 99

17. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (RUS #18) 94

18. Roberta Vinci (ITA #19) 269

19. Julia Goerges (GER #20) 199

20. Yanina Wickmayer (BEL #21) 199

21. Daniela Hantuchova (SVK #22) 99

22. Sabine Lisicki (GER #23) 33

23. Shahar Peer (ISR #24) 477

24. Nadia Petrova (RUS #25) 209

25. Maria Kirilenko (RUS #26) 399

26. Flavia Pennetta (ITA #27) 259

27. Lucie Safarova (CZE #28) 289

28. Serena Williams (USA #29) 2.5

29. Jarmila Gajdosova (AUS #31) 309

30. Anabel Medina Garrigues (ESP #32) 999

31. Kaia Kanepi (EST #33) 599

32. Mar'a José Mart'nez Sánchez (ESP #34) 999

Just out of seedings (will be unseeded):

Bethanie Mattek-Sands (USA #35) 709

Venus Williams (USA #36) 69

RICK

Withdrawals that affected the seedings:

Kim Clijsters (BEL #3) - left abdominal injury

Alisa Kleybanova (RUS #30) - illness

Rick


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